Análisis Excelsior vs Dordrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 3
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 1
BOS
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 1983 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 ago. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 1983 |
FCD
1 - 2
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1983 |
PSV
5 - 0
FCD
88%
8%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 0
FCD
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1983 |
FCD
2 - 2
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |