Análisis Excelsior vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1971 |
VOL
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 jun. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 1971 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1971 |
ADO
0 - 0
TWE
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 1
TWE
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 1971 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
38%
26%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 0
TWE
27%
29%
45%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |