Análisis Excelsior vs Twente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 1986 |
ZWO
2 - 3
EXC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 2
BOS
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
FEY
5 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
Partidos
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 0
ADO
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 3
TWE
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
TWE
2 - 3
RJC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
GRO
4 - 2
TWE
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1986 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |