Análisis Excelsior vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
28%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
43.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 1
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 may. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
78%
14%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 2
DWS
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
88%
8%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |