Análisis Excelsior vs Utrecht
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1985 |
RJC
3 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 1985 |
EXC
3 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 1985 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 1
UTR
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1985 |
DYN
4 - 1
UTR
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |