Análisis Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
HEL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 3
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 dic. 2003 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
63%
20%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2003 |
GAE
4 - 4
FCO
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 1
GAE
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2003 |
GAE
2 - 2
APE
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2003 |
VVV
4 - 3
GAE
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |