Análisis Excelsior vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2008 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
SCH
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 2008 |
SPA
6 - 1
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 ene. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |