Análisis Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1986 |
GAE
4 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 1
FEY
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 0
HFC
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1986 |
GAE
0 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 4
HFC
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |