Análisis Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 3
EXC
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 0
GRO
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2000 |
HFC
1 - 2
HEL
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 4
FCD
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 4
GAE
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 2
HFC
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 1999 |
FCE
1 - 4
HFC
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +2 |