Análisis Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.6
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2004 |
BOS
2 - 2
EXC
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
BVO
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2004 |
BVV
1 - 4
EXC
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2004 |
HFC
0 - 2
HER
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2004 |
APE
5 - 2
HFC
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 abr. 2004 |
HFC
3 - 1
VVV
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2004 |
FCO
3 - 0
HFC
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2004 |
HFC
1 - 1
TEL
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |