Análisis Excelsior vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1985 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 1
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 3
HER
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1985 |
HER
1 - 8
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1985 |
HER
0 - 3
BOS
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |