Análisis Excelsior vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 1998 |
EXC
6 - 1
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 3
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 nov. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 1998 |
FCD
1 - 0
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 nov. 1998 |
GAE
2 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
FCO
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
49%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1998 |
FCE
2 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 1998 |
HEL
2 - 1
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1998 |
VVV
3 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |