Análisis Excelsior vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.7
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 dic. 2001 |
EIN
0 - 1
EXC
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2001 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
59%
20%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 2001 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 0
ZWO
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 dic. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
FCE
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 2001 |
BVV
1 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2001 |
HER
0 - 4
RBC
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2001 |
ADO
1 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |