Eredivisie Temporada Regular Jor. 5

Análisis Excelsior vs Heracles

Excelsior Heracles
68 ELO 75
15.8% Tilt 1.4%
561º Ranking ELO general 380º
17º Ranking ELO país 13º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.7%
Excelsior
25.6%
Empate
40.7%
Heracles

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Excelsior
1.29
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Heracles
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Excelsior
+11%
-4%
Heracles

Progresión del ELO

Excelsior
Heracles
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 ago. 2016
FEY
Feyenoord
4 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
73%
17%
10%
68 83 15 0
19 ago. 2016
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 2
ADO Den Haag
ADO
37%
26%
37%
68 74 6 0
13 ago. 2016
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 0
Groningen
GRO
40%
25%
35%
67 72 5 +1
06 ago. 2016
TWE
Twente
1 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
61%
23%
17%
67 75 8 0
30 jul. 2016
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 3
Espanyol
ESP
26%
25%
49%
67 84 17 0

Partidos

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 ago. 2016
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
39%
26%
36%
76 74 2 0
21 ago. 2016
HER
Heracles
0 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
31%
24%
45%
76 82 6 0
14 ago. 2016
HER
Heracles
3 - 1
Willem II
WIL
56%
24%
20%
75 70 5 +1
07 ago. 2016
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
30%
26%
44%
76 67 9 -1
04 ago. 2016
ARO
Arouca
0 - 0
Heracles
HER
39%
25%
36%
76 75 1 0