Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1970 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
79%
12%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1970 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 ago. 1970 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1970 |
VOL
2 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 4
DWS
54%
25%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 ago. 1970 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 may. 1970 |
NAC
2 - 4
PSV
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |