Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 1
EXC
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1973 |
GAE
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
ADO
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1973 |
BOS
2 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
25%
28%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
89%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |