Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 1975 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 2
SPA
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1975 |
MVV
0 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 2
ADO
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1975 |
AJA
5 - 1
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |