Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
PSV
8%
14%
78%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
VVV
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 4
UTR
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2019 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |