Análisis Excelsior vs NAC Breda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 1
BVO
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWO
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 2020 |
JUT
3 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 3
VOL
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 nov. 2020 |
RJC
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 dic. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
VOL
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2020 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCD
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2020 |
FCO
0 - 0
NAC
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2020 |
EIN
2 - 4
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |