Análisis Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 jul. 2010 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2010 |
2 - 5
EXC
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2010 |
EXC
5 - 1
BOS
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2010 |
WIL
3 - 5
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 0
VVV
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 jul. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 1
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 jul. 2010 |
RWA
1 - 2
NEC
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |