Análisis Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
HEL
72%
17%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
JUT
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 1
TEL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
NEC
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 1
NEC
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 0
VOL
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
PSV
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |