Análisis Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1974 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1974 |
EXC
0 - 0
ADO
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 may. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 may. 1973 |
EXC
4 - 1
BOS
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1974 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
GAE
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPA
22%
26%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
MVV
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |