Análisis Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
68%
18%
13%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1986 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
25%
22%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 may. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 0
BOS
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |