Análisis Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.23
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 2003 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2003 |
EIN
0 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVV
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 oct. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 2
VVV
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 3
HEL
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCD
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |