Análisis Excelsior vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 1982 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
RJC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 2
EXC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
TWE
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 0
WIL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 1
WIL
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1982 |
WIL
0 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |