Análisis Excursionistas vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 2018 |
MID
2 - 0
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
CAM
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2018 |
ARQ
2 - 1
EXC
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2018 |
EXC
4 - 0
DOC
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 0
EXC
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2018 |
CAD
3 - 0
CAÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
CAD
19%
25%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2018 |
LUJ
2 - 1
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 2
ITA
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |