Análisis Excursionistas vs Dep. Español
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
UAI
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
DAL
2 - 1
EXC
49%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 2
BER
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
MID
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
LAF
3 - 1
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALE
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 2
UAI
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |