Análisis Excursionistas vs Luján
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 1
EXC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 2
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2006 |
DOC
0 - 0
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
SMG
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2006 |
LUJ
1 - 0
ARM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2006 |
ARM
3 - 2
LUJ
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 abr. 2006 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
LUJ
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 2006 |
LUJ
1 - 2
ACA
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
SBA
4 - 0
LUJ
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |