Análisis Excursionistas vs Sacachispas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
VSC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2006 |
ITU
1 - 0
EXC
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 1
DOC
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
LAF
1 - 0
EXC
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2006 |
SAC
0 - 1
ACA
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 1
SAC
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2006 |
SAC
0 - 2
LUJ
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 1
SAC
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
SAC
2 - 2
JJU
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |