Análisis Excursionistas vs Sacachispas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2015 |
JUU
2 - 2
EXC
39%
29%
33%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
STM
0 - 0
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 3
BER
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
EXC
61%
25%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 2
CCO
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2015 |
TAL
3 - 1
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 0
JUU
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2015 |
JJU
1 - 0
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |