Tercera División - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-2
Análisis Extremadura vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 jun. 2010 |
MAI
2 - 2
EXT
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2010 |
EXT
0 - 0
MAI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
EXT
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2010 |
EXT
0 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
EXT
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 jun. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2010 |
AVI
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 may. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |