Campeonato de Portugal Norte Jor. 16

Análisis Fafe vs Varzim

Fafe Varzim
53 ELO 62
-6.7% Tilt -2.3%
4235º Ranking ELO general 3351º
76º Ranking ELO país 56º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
33.5%
Fafe
28.9%
Empate
37.5%
Varzim

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Fafe
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Empate
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Varzim
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Fafe
+10%
+60%
Varzim

Progresión del ELO

Fafe
Varzim
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Fafe
Fafe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ene. 2012
FAF
Fafe
1 - 0
Lousada
LOU
71%
18%
11%
54 38 16 0
08 ene. 2012
CAM
Camacha
2 - 2
Fafe
FAF
29%
26%
46%
54 44 10 0
18 dic. 2011
FAF
Fafe
0 - 1
Os Limianos
OSL
70%
19%
12%
54 42 12 0
11 dic. 2011
CHA
Chaves
1 - 0
Fafe
FAF
42%
28%
30%
55 55 0 -1
04 dic. 2011
FAF
Fafe
2 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
26%
27%
47%
53 65 12 +2

Partidos

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ene. 2012
RIB
Ribeira Brava
1 - 3
Varzim
VAR
24%
26%
49%
61 44 17 0
08 ene. 2012
VAR
Varzim
2 - 0
Ribeirão
RIB
67%
21%
13%
61 48 13 0
18 dic. 2011
MAR
Marítimo II
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
27%
27%
46%
61 48 13 0
11 dic. 2011
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Merelinense
MER
73%
18%
9%
62 41 21 -1
08 dic. 2011
MIR
Mirandela
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
27%
26%
47%
61 46 15 +1