Análisis Fanfulla vs Lucchese Libertas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 2
FAN
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1953 |
FAN
6 - 0
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 1953 |
FAN
0 - 1
MES
65%
20%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 2
VER
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 1953 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASL
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |