Análisis Fanfulla vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.1%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1951 |
FAN
4 - 3
CAT
65%
18%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 2
FAN
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 1951 |
FAN
1 - 0
TRE
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 1951 |
USC
0 - 0
FAN
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 0
FAN
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 1951 |
MES
2 - 0
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 feb. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
46%
23%
32%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |