Análisis Fanfulla vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1953 |
CAG
2 - 1
FAN
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
SAL
1 - 1
FAN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
FAN
1 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 1953 |
ACM
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1953 |
MES
0 - 0
SAL
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 1953 |
MES
3 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |