Análisis FAS vs Alianza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 2
FAS
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
FAS
1 - 0
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
FAS
1 - 3
ONC
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 dic. 2006 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 1
FAS
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2007 |
AGU
4 - 2
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2006 |
FAS
3 - 0
ALI
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 1
FAS
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
FIR
5 - 2
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |