Análisis FAS vs Alianza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
+40%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 1
AGU
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
FAS
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
UES
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2015 |
SFC
1 - 2
FAS
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
CDD
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
PAS
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 ago. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |