Análisis FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atl. Sullana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
AYA
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 jul. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 jun. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 jun. 2010 |
CNI
5 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
CNI
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 jul. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOT
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 jun. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |