Análisis FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2020 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 2020 |
GAR
3 - 1
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 oct. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 0
AGP
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2020 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |