Análisis FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
MEL
33%
31%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2018 |
BIN
2 - 2
MEL
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
Partidos
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 2018 |
AYA
3 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
AYA
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2018 |
AYA
4 - 2
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 abr. 2018 |
SPC
5 - 0
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2018 |
SRP
5 - 1
AYA
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -3 |