Análisis FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 0
SBO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 2
MEL
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 2
TOT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2007 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |