Análisis FBC Melgar vs Unión Comercio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
72.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
MEL
33%
31%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2018 |
BIN
2 - 2
MEL
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 abr. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
GAR
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2018 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
HUA
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
23%
24%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 1
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 abr. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SBO
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2018 |
BIN
3 - 0
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2018 |
GAR
5 - 2
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |