Análisis FBC Melgar vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2004 |
MEL
3 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2003 |
SBO
3 - 2
MEL
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 0
CIE
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
CDE
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |