Análisis FBC Melgar vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
MEL
4 - 4
SAM
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
CDE
1 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
MEL
2 - 3
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 0
MEL
35%
26%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 2
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
CDE
2 - 3
UNI
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
WAN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 2004 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |