Análisis FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 nov. 2019 |
MEL
4 - 2
CAN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
MEL
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
SPC
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2019 |
SBO
4 - 2
MEL
29%
27%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
UNI
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 2
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |