Análisis Aarau vs Baden
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1992 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCA
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1991 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 0
YVE
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 feb. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 2
LUG
27%
29%
44%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1986 |
SER
1 - 1
BAD
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | +5 |
| 24 may. 1986 |
BAD
1 - 8
GCZ
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |