Análisis Aarau vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
32.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 1982 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 may. 1982 |
NOB
0 - 1
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1982 |
FCA
2 - 4
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 1982 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 1982 |
STG
4 - 0
BAS
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1982 |
BAS
3 - 1
BEL
85%
10%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 may. 1982 |
NEX
4 - 2
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 1982 |
BAS
2 - 1
SIO
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1982 |
LAU
2 - 3
BAS
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |