Análisis Aarau vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCW
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 1987 |
FCA
5 - 0
VEV
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1987 |
LAC
0 - 0
FCA
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 4
NEX
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1987 |
FCW
1 - 2
BAS
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1987 |
BAS
3 - 4
STG
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1987 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 0
LAC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |