Liga Suiza Jor. 1

Análisis Aarau vs Basel

Aarau Basel
77 ELO 71
14.2% Tilt 0.8%
722º Ranking ELO general 237º
15º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
64.5%
Aarau
19.4%
Empate
16.1%
Basel

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Basel
1
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Aarau
+4%
+18%
Basel

Progresión del ELO

Aarau
Basel
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 jun. 1987
FCA
Aarau
5 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
60%
22%
19%
76 76 0 0
27 jun. 1987
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
51%
25%
24%
77 75 2 -1
23 jun. 1987
FCM
FC Malley
0 - 6
Aarau
FCA
29%
29%
42%
76 53 23 +1
20 jun. 1987
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
FC Malley
FCM
76%
16%
9%
76 53 23 0
12 jun. 1987
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
71%
18%
11%
77 85 8 -1

Partidos

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 jun. 1987
BAS
Basel
7 - 0
FC Wettingen
FCW
73%
17%
10%
71 68 3 0
27 jun. 1987
FCW
FC Wettingen
2 - 1
Basel
BAS
43%
26%
32%
72 66 6 -1
23 jun. 1987
BUL
Bulle
2 - 2
Basel
BAS
33%
27%
40%
72 56 16 0
20 jun. 1987
BAS
Basel
2 - 2
Bulle
BUL
77%
15%
9%
73 56 17 -1
12 jun. 1987
BAS
Basel
2 - 5
Sion
SIO
38%
24%
38%
73 83 10 0