Análisis Aarau vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCA
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 3
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 3
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2004 |
THU
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
BAS
8 - 1
GCZ
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
STG
0 - 1
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
INT
4 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |